Filipe R Costa

Neil Woodford’s secrets to success

Neil Woodford’s secrets to success

1 mins. to read

We do not focus on short-term performance issues; we focus on the valuation of fundamentals. Our disciplined approach guides us, we believe, to the best opportunities in the stock market and we are very patient investors. We expect our performance to improve when the market begins again to focus, as it inevitably will, on valuation.…

The Fed is behind the curve

The Fed is behind the curve

6 mins. to read

For the second time in a decade, the Fed has hiked its key interest rate target. One year after the first hike, the central bank decided to give continuity to a new tightening trend that is still expected to evolve very slowly over time. Policymakers at the FED now expect three rate rises in 2017,…

Just don’t call it taper
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Just don’t call it taper

6 mins. to read

Here we are, finally, at a time when both the ECB and the FED are required to take important policy steps and are expected to diverge the most in years. After much volatility in 2016 because of Brexit, Italy, and Trump, investors are now concentrating their attention on central banks and their magic crafts. Dodging…

India’s DIY recession

India’s DIY recession

6 mins. to read

During the painful periods of hyperinflation in the last century, there were a few episodes when governments decided to demonetise the economy and to reintroduce money in new forms in an attempt to contain the rampant price increases. But these moves pale in comparison to India’s bid to absorb 87% of its circulating physical currency…

Turkey is heading towards chaos

Turkey is heading towards chaos

5 mins. to read

While the global euphoria ignited by Donald Trump persists, there are parts of the world where sentiment is a little weaker. Trump will certainly help central banks to adjust policy and boost the domestic economy, but it will bring a lot of trouble to emerging markets. When I say trouble, I’m not thinking about Trump’s…

The big flaw in Trump’s reflation plan

The big flaw in Trump’s reflation plan

8 mins. to read

We have reached a point where people are so tired of the current economic model that they’re willing to support anyone promising to do away with the status quo and make life great again. It’s hard to find fault, because the current model is obviously rotten and is overwhelmingly biased towards the incumbent wealthy. But,…

Why Trump could be a huge relief for the Eurozone

Why Trump could be a huge relief for the Eurozone

7 mins. to read

Far from heralding disaster for the Eurozone, Donald Trump may soon help to replace the melancholic frown on European faces with a happy smile of hope. Here’s why… While the world is still reeling from the Trump win over Clinton last Tuesday, there is a huge amount of information to be digested, analysed and filtered in…

The pound will rebound

The pound will rebound

1 mins. to read

To prove that Wall Street is an early omen of movements still to come in GNP, commentators quote economic studies alleging that market downturns predicted four out of the last five recessions. That is an understatement. Wall Street indexes predicted nine out of the last five recessions! And its mistakes were beauties. – Paul Samuelson…

Tread carefully with Emerging Markets

Tread carefully with Emerging Markets

4 mins. to read

One year ago the FED was discussing whether it should hike its key rate and thus reverse a policy trend that had lasted for a decade. By then, investors were anxiously awaiting such a move, and even expected a rate hike to be the first of many more to come (albeit gradually) over the course…

How to invest like Philip Fisher

How to invest like Philip Fisher

1 mins. to read

One of the biggest and most challenging questions Philip Fisher ever dared to ask a corporate manager was “What are you doing that your competitors aren’t doing yet?” Whilst relatively crude, such a question is often disregarded by those involved in business, who often can barely give a convincing answer when confronted with it. In…