Following my recommendation 15 months ago, followers saw Berkeley Energia (LON:BKY) nearly treble by January as more and more commentators jumped aboard and as the company issued a stream of bullish news on progress and prospects for uranium. But the shares are now 20% off their top and perhaps the market is satiated with a…
My initial recommendation for Solomon Gold (LON:SOLG) last March was based on a value of gold and copper ‘in the ground’ that its drilling was then targeting on just one part of its Ecuadorian Cascabel project, which looked – even at a conservative 1% – to be at least six times Solomon’s then market cap.…
The recovery in mining stocks took many by surprise in 2016. However, despite the renaissance, there is still a heavy weight of opinion against the mining sector. With this in mind, the contrarian in me is optimistic for continued outperformance in 2017. I know my writing here is too intermittent to update readers on investment…
Shares in Sirius Minerals have rightly suffered a major pullback over the past few days, and many private-investor enthusiasts for the stock have been badly burned. The trouble with Sirius is that there is a lot of questionable analysis out there in the public domain right now. Here’s my attempt at setting the record straight……
The key misconception behind the chat board ‘projections’ for Kibo MIning is a failure to understand the disconnect between a ‘project’ and the company ‘owning’ it. But this also stems from a failure to understand the concept of a project’s net present value (NPV). These commentators (and even the house broker’s headline – before hiding…
Here is an update with particular mention of where Kibo Mining and Ncondezi Energy have got to, and a repeat tutorial on how not to value such companies. If their projects go ahead, either company could see their shares reach a few multiples of current levels. By how much isn’t easy to determine, especially for…
My taking a profit on a small proportion of my stake in SolGold after its spurt to 12p following Newcrest International’s offer to buy 10% at 6p per share is looking silly now that the shares are touching 18p – after what looks like a mini-buying stampede today. And after dithering when to get back…
Those who followed me into Solomon Gold, at 3p in March and at 7p two weeks ago, have a short term dilemma. What to do now that the shares have briefly touched 14p and today have bounced off a 10p chart level (but at low volume). Solomon Gold – 10 days to 9th September 2016…
To follow our Magazine article on Uranium, here are some more thoughts… How to invest for what most observers think is an inevitable uranium price recovery in the next few years is not an easy question to answer. Given the long decline in the uranium price after Fukushima, its not surprising that practically all companies…
When I discussed Sirius Minerals in March, I thought it expensive at around 16p, being too far ahead of any meaningful return even though exceptional once it starts (slowly) in ten years time. I thought the same in June at around 19p. However there has been good news recently, and Sirius became doubly more expensive.…
