Brexit Scenario One Point Zero

6 mins. to read
Brexit Scenario One Point Zero

Wednesday, 22 June 2016

Prime Minister David Cameron says he does not think that rising concerns about the financial condition of certain Eurozone countries will influence British voters tomorrow, though all major opinion polls now put both sides neck-and-neck…

Peter Kellner of YouGov says: It’s all now down to who turns up to vote and the OUTs are more likely to get off their a***s…

The pound falls further today on the foreign exchange markets.


Thursday, 23 June 2016

Voting at his Oxfordshire home, the Prime Minister admitted that he was unlikely to get much sleep tonight…


Friday, 24 June 2016, 03:47 hours

David Dimbleby on Referendum Special: So that’s it, then, that clinches it. With almost one hundred percent certainty, the people of the United Kingdom have made the momentous decision to leave the European Union…


Friday, 24 June 2016, 10:07 hours

Frau Merkel: This outcome is most regrettable.

President Hollande: There will be grave consequences for the English….

J-C Juncker: The English must now be punished.

The Prime Minister emerges from 10 Downing Street to make a short statement.

The British people have spoken. A strategy will be formulated in the immediate future to guide the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union in a way that is most advantageous for both…

After an initial plunge of nearly 425 points, the FTSE-100 closes the day 298 points down.  The pound falls further.


Sunday, 26 June, 2016, 09:17 hours

Andrew Marr: How do you respond to the reports in today’s papers that you are plotting a “coup” against David Cameron?

Boris Johnson: This is the quintessence of inane piffle, peddled by a pack of rancid ninnies…


Monday, 27 June, 2016, 12:15 hours

PM David Cameron in the House of Commons:

I have consulted with all my European colleagues over the weekend and I can inform the House that they are as one in wishing to co-operate with the British government in finding a mutually satisfactory solution to the dilemma posed by the expression of the British people’s will last Thursday…

Dennis Skinner MP: RESIGN!

There is murmuring on the Tory benches.

Michael Gove, Boris Johnson and Iain Duncan-Smith are reported to have dined together this evening at a club in St. James’s.


Tuesday, 28 June 2016, 08:13 hours

John Humphreys interviews Iain Duncan-Smith on BBC R4’s Today Programme.

John Humphreys: Answer the question. Is David Cameron’s leadership now tenable?

IDS: All right John, if you want a straight answer, then the answer is no…

The FTSE-100 falls precipitously throughout the morning but rallies somewhat in early afternoon on the back of positive earnings data.


Wednesday, 29 June 2016, 10:46 hours CET

Signor Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank, is holding a press conference in Frankfurt.

No sir, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Sienna has not collapsed. It has prudentially withdrawn from market operations until such time as the Banca d’ Italia can ascertain the magnitude of its uncovered counterparty obligations… I can assure you that the ECB has taken robust measures to maintain operational liquidity within the Italian and European banking systems…

The Euro falls against the US Dollar. The pound recovers ground against the Euro.


Thursday, 30 June 2016, 11:43 hours

Theresa May is outside Number 10 Downing Street.

During this morning’s cabinet meeting I informed the Prime Minister of my intention to resign from the cabinet forthwith and I shall be formally writing to him to that effect in the next hour. While I freely supported the government’s campaign for the UK to remain a member of the European Union, I did so with the deepest misgivings – based partially on information supplied by the Treasury, which, in the light of current perturbations in the European markets, I now consider to have been misleading… I cannot see how the present government can secure the best terms for Britain going forward without substantive changes in policy…

The FTSE-100 and the pound plunge.


Friday, 01 July 2016,

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras addresses the Greek parliament: Greece simply cannot take any more pain…

Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orban addresses the Hungarian people on live TV: If England has the right to determine her future, then so do the people of Hungary…

Emmanuel Macron, French Minister of the Economy: The time has come to consign the dispossessed of Calais to the country of their choice – England.


Sunday, 03 July 2016, 10:08 hours

Andrew Marr: You believe that your hour has come, don’t you?

Boris Johnson: Whistles and bells! It’s not about reading the oracles you know, matey. And, in any case, there is a man more competent than I, “il miglior fabbro”[i] I call him… Yes, IDS – he’d be just the man to drink his way out of this soup… I mean, crikey – have you seen what’s going on in the Eurozone…?


Monday, 04 July 2016, 08:22 hours

John Humphreys: So, if I might just ask the question once again Mr Osborne, in the hope of possibly getting an answer this time – is it, or is it not the case that the majority of Tory MPs think that at least a leadership contest – as Sir John Major fought in 1995 – might clear the air…?

Gorge Osborne: John, John… I came into politics…

JH: Answer the question, Mr Osborne.

GO: If that were the definitive view of the Tory party in parliament then, yes, how could the Prime Minister ignore it?… The most important thing is that we have a government which is clear on the direction on which we are headed – and, even though I believe that David Cameron is far and away the best man for the job, if a change of leadership could secure that, well, who am I to stand in the way of the party…?

The pound and the FTSE-100 fall further.


Monday, 04 July 2016, 17:48 hours

Prime Minister David Cameron, outside 10 Downing Street:

…I therefore confirm that I shall be resigning as Prime Minister as soon as my successor is chosen…


Wednesday, 23 May 2018, 11:36 hours CET

The European Parliament, Brussels.

The European President:

And so, may I now ask the British Prime Minister to step forward to sign the Treaty of Solidarity and Partnership between the United Kingdom and the Confederation of European States. The latter, as the world knows, will take its place on the Security Council of the United Nations tomorrow…

[Thunderous applause.]

The British Prime Minister:

Merci beaucoup Madame le Président. Incroyable! Magnifique! Extraordinaire! Wunderbar! Mervilioso! Crikey, it’s been a long road but we got there in the end, didn’t we? We – les Brits – got control of our borders and of our welfare spend – though I note that a lot of your lads and lasses are still legging it in our direction (don’t say anything to our red-tops, please) – and you got your political unification with the blessing of the British people. And we all seem to be trading very nicely together… As if the English would ever have given up French wine and German cars… But, if I may say so, as a classicist, could you please cut some slack for the poor Greeks and Italians… I mean, cripes…

The pound remains unchanged at €1.2895. The FTSE-100 closes flat at 6,168.

[i] “The better craftsman”.  13th Century Tuscan.  How Dante Alighieri described the Occitan troubadour poet Arnaud Daniel.

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